Week 10 NFL Predictions

img-thingThe NFL Season enters double digits as week 10 is about to get underway on Thursday, November 10th with the still winless Cleveland Browns visiting the Baltimore Ravens. There were only a couple of upsets in week 9, but plenty of high-scoring games. There are some crucial games this week for those hoping to make the playoffs and just four clubs have byes. Check out our weekly predictions below to see how each team will fare in week 10 of the campaign.

Thursday, November 10th

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

The Browns and their fans are having a miserable time of it this season with an 0-9 record and a last-place position in the ADC North. Cleveland lost its ninth straight game of the campaign when Dallas downed them 35-10 at home on Sunday. Rookie quarterback Cody Kessler started the game even though he suffered a concussion a week earlier. He had a decent game by going 19 for 27 in passing for 2013 yards with a touchdown. The Browns’ defence let them down though and they allowed more than 30 points against once again. Baltimore snapped their four-game losing slide by taking down Pittsburgh 21-14 at home. The Ravens sit atop the AFC North standings now at 4-4. Baltimore has eight wins in their past 10 home meetings with Cleveland, but are only 3-7 ATS in that stretch. Both losses were by a field goal.

Prediction: Baltimore wins by 12 points, 30-18.

Sunday, November 13th

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

There’s an AFC South showdown between the first and worst teams in the division on Sunday as Houston visits Jacksonville. The Texans lead the division at 5-3 with the Jaguars sitting in the cellar at 2-6. The Texans took last weekend off with a bye after beating Detroit in week 8. They miss J.J. Watt, but the defence is still playing well without him. Houston hasn’t lost at home this campaign and will now need to prove they can be just as effective on the road. Jacksonville was downed 19-14 in Kansas City last week even though they had a 449 to 231 edge in total yards. Quarterback Blake Bortles couldn’t come up with the big play when needed and his passing needs to improve. Houston has won its last four meetings with Jacksonville and has gone 3-1 ATS. In addition, the Jaguars are winless at home at 0-3.

Prediction: Houston wins by eight points, 26-18.

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers

The Chiefs were 19-14 winners over Jacksonville at home last week to improve to 6-2 on the season and now sit in second place in the AFC West. Carolina beat the Rams 13-10 in Los Angeles as last year’s Super Bowl finalists make a push for the playoffs. They’re now 3-5 on the season and tied for third place in the NFC South with Tampa Bay. The Panthers gained just 244 yards while Los Angeles racked up 339 yards on Sunday. Quarterback Cam Newton still isn’t at his best and was sacked five times. He’s been held to less than 270 yards in the air five times this season too. Kansas City is doing well even though starting quarterback Alex Smith is injured. Nick Foles had a touchdown pass and 187 yards in the air against the Jaguars while the defence did its job. The offense carried the ball just 22 times for 62 yards though. The defence helped out by forcing and recovering a trio of fumbles and also recorded an interception. Kansas has 20 takeaways on the season now to lead the league. Carolina’s offence doesn’t match up well against the Chiefs’ defence at this time.
Prediction: Kansas wins by seven points, 21-14.

Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets

Both Los Angeles and New York are coming off of losses in week 9 as the Rams were 13-10 losers to Carolina at home while the Jets were downed 27-23 by the Dolphins in Miami. The Jets are at the bottom of the AFC East at 3-6 with the Rams in third place in the NFC West at 3-5. Jets’ quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick and his Rams counterpart Case Keenum have both been picked off more than 10 times so far this season. The Los Angeles defence was fine on Sunday as they held Carolina to 13 points. but the New York defence was stung for 27 points while Miami’s Jay Ajayi rushed for 111 yards. Keenum has five touchdown passes in his last three games though and passed for more than 290 yards those three starts. On the other hand, Fitzpatrick hasn’t reached the 200-yard mark in the air in two of his past three outings and has just three touchdown passes in those games.

Prediction: Los Angeles wins by three points, 20-17.

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles

The Falcons offence was in fine form last Thursday in a 43-28 win over Tampa Bay in Florida. Quarterback Matt Ryan led the way as the team racked up 461 yards and he tossed four touchdown passes. Atlanta leads the NFC South with their 6-3 record. The Eagles didn’t fare as well as they fell 28-23 in East Rutherford to the New York Giants. Philly conceded four touchdowns and couldn’t take advantage of their two pickoffs. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz had a fine outing though with a career-best 364 yards in the air. He was intercepted twice though and didn’t throw a touchdown pass. Wentz has now been intercepted five times in the past five games. The Eagles are now 4-4 and at the bottom of the NFC East. The Falcons have won three straight against Philly both straight up and ATS.

Prediction: Atlanta wins by eight points, 28-20.

Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans

Green Bay has been struggling lately and was beaten 31-26 at home by the Colts last week for their second consecutive defeat. They’ve also conceded at least 30 points in those two losses. The Packers are now 4-4 on the year and are in third place in the NFC North. Tennessee is going in the other direction as the Titans have scored at least 35 points in their past two contests. However, they were beaten 43-35 in San Diego last week. The defence wasn’t at its best and quarterback Marcus Mariota turned the ball over three times. The Titans are now 4-5 and tied for second place with the Colts in the AFC South. Mariota and Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers have similar stats this campaign, but Rodgers has 17 touchdowns and four interceptions while Mariota has 16 and six. Mariota has gained more than 100 yards more though with a better pass yardage per attempt.

Prediction: Green Bay bounces back with a close three-point win, 31-29.

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins

The Vikings were upset 22-16 at home in overtime by Detroit on Sunday and are now 5-3 on the year after opening the campaign at 5-0. They’re still leading the NFC North though and all three losses came after their week 6 bye. The Vikings have scored an average of only 12 points per game in that trio of losses and the ground game has been weak. Quarterback Sam Bradford went 31 for 40 in passing for 273 yards with a touchdown pass. However, Minnesota carried the ball just 25 times for 78 yards for an average of 3.12 yards each run. Washington had a bye last week after tying the Bengals 27-27 in Week 8. They’re 4-3-1 on the year and in third place in the NFC East. Quarterback Kirk Cousins gained 458 yards in the air in that game with a pair of touchdown passes. Washington averages close to 300 yards in the air each week to rank third in the NFL and they’’ be facing a Vikings’ secondary which as conceded four aerial touchdowns in the last three games.
Prediction: Washington wins a close three-point affair 23-20.

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chicago doubled Minnesota 20-10 on Monday Night Football in week 8 and then took week 9 off with a bye. Quarterback Jay Cutler returned to start in that game Jordan Howard had a fine outing. Cutler passed for 252 yards and added a touchdown pass and Howard ran for 153 yards and a touchdown as the Bears put 20 points up on the scoreboard for only the second time in 2016/17. Chicago is still in the basement of the NFC North though at 2-6. Tampa was downed 43-28 at home last Thursday, but Mike Evans gained 150 yards and two touchdowns on 11 catches and quarterback Jameis Winston had three touchdown passes and gained 261 yards in the air. Tampa is now 3-5 on the year and tied with Carolina for third place in the NFC South. Tampa is still winless at home this season though.

Prediction: Tampa wins by nine points, 29-10.

Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints

The Broncos met their match in the AFC West last week as the Oakland Raiders took care of them 30-20 at home on Sunday. The loss saw Denver fall to third place in the tough division at 6-3 while the Raiders moved into first with Kansas City taking over second. Denver’s three losses have been against offensive powerhouses in the Raiders, Atlanta and San Diego and they’ll be facing Drew Brees this weekend. The Saints beat San Francisco 41-23 on the road last week to up their record to 4-4 on the year and move into second place in the NFC South. Denver conceded 218 ground yards against Oakland as well as a trio of goal-line touchdowns and managed only 33 yards on the ground themselves. New Orleans’ backfield pair Mark Ingram and Tim Hightower both scored a touchdown and teamed up for 245 yards on the ground in their team’s second straight victory.

Prediction: New Orleans wins by six points, 28-22.

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers

Miami enters the weekend on a three-game winning streak after beating their 27-23 home win over the New York Jets on Sunday. Sophomore running back Jay Ajayi led the way with 111 yards and has now rushed for 529 yards over the past three games. The Dolphins moved to 4-4 on the year and into second place in the AFC East. The Chargers also won on the weekend, 43-35 at home over Tennessee to improve to 4-5, but are still in last place in the AFC West. San Diego running back Melvin Gordon ran for a career-best 196 yards and a touchdown against the Titans and leads the league with 11 TDs. Both teams may focus on a ground attack here since Gordon and Ajayi are in fine form. San Diego has won three straight meetings with Miami at home both straight up and ATS. Their Dolphins last victory in San Diego came in 2005. In addition, the Chargers’ offense is scoring over 30 points per outing.

Prediction: San Diego wins by eight points, 33-25.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has been at the helm in the 49ers past three contests and appears to be improving each time out. However, his team has still lost all three games. San Francisco was downed 41-23 at home by the Saints last week to fall to 1-7 on the year and remain in the basement of the NFC West. Kaepernick had a pair of touchdown passes and 398 yards in the air, but the defence let him down as the Saints racked up 41 points and 571 yards. The 49ers have conceded 38.3 points against on average per game in their last four losses. They’re now facing a Cardinals squad which has won four of their past five encounters in the past two years and is also 4-1 ATS. The Cardinals are 3-4-1 on the year and in second place in the NFC West after last week’s bye. Arizona’s defence is sixth-best in the league as it allows only 17.5 points against per game on average.

Prediction: Arizona wins by 14 points, 35-21.

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers

The Cowboys are flying with seven straight wins after beating Cleveland 35-10 on the road last week while the Steelers have lost three in a row after falling 21-14 in Baltimore. Dallas rookie quarterback Dak Prescott and rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott have been unstoppable lately. Prescott went 21 for 27 in passing in Cleveland for 247 yards along with three touchdown passes. Elliott chipped in with a pair of touchdowns and another 92 yards. Dallas is now 7-1 and still leads the NFC East. Steelers’ quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was back from injury on Sunday, and gained 210 yards in the last quarter, but it wasn’t enough. Pittsburgh fell to second place in the AFC North at 4-4 and will need Roethlisberger to be in top form on Sunday.

Prediction: Pittsburgh wins a narrow three-point decision, 28-25.

Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots

The Seahawks were 31-25 winners at home over Buffalo on Monday night and are now 5-2-1 on the season, which is good enough for first place in the NFC West. The victory also snapped their two-game winless streak. Meanwhile, the Patriots are sitting on top of the AFC East at 7-1 after sitting out week 9 with a bye. Their last outing was a 41-25 victory in Buffalo. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson was in fine form with 282 passing yards and a pair of touchdowns tosses by making 20 of his 26 attempts. Jimmy Graham caught both passes and gained 103 yards in total. Wilson also ran in a touchdown. The Seattle defence hasn’t been in top form lately though, especially on third downs, and is missing Michael Bennett. New England has been scoring 34 points a game on average since Tom Brady returned and Rob Gronkowski is healthy.
Prediction: New England wins by 11 points, 28-17

Monday, November 14th

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants

The Bengals enter the game in third place in the AFC North at 3-4-1 and took last week off with a bye. The Giants beat the Philadelphia Eagles 28-23 at home to improve to 5-3 on the season and now sit in second spot in the NFC East. Bengals’ receiver A.J. Green has already posted four games of at least 100 receiving yards this season with three touchdowns and Giants’ receiver Odell Beckham Jr. has five touchdowns on the campaign. Giants’ quarterback Eli Manning has been picked off eight times now this year while Bengals’ quarterback Andy Dalton has been intercepted just three times. Manning threw four touchdown passes last Sunday and was picked off twice, but Dalton is just 4-9 in his career in night games.
Prediction: The Giants win by three points, 29-26.

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